Golden Dome

The Starbench Golden Dome Model forecasts the US homeland missile-defense buildout by architecture layer, acquisition customer, and contractor. It runs on the federal award record itself: FPDS, USASpending, and SHIELD IDIQ obligations land in the model weekly, and production ramps are re-fit each budget cycle against Green Book R-1/P-1 lines rather than press guidance.

What's inside

• Contract pulse: a weekly tally of awards and modifications across the SHIELD IDIQ, FPDS, and USASpending streams, tagged by prime and architecture layer
• Schedule risk: Bayesian slip posteriors for each architecture layer, updated as milestones resolve
• Production and procurement: the annual flagship: interceptor and sensor ramp curves fit to budget-justification lines and program history
• Quarterlies: supply chain, allied demand, and lifecycle cost
• Catalysts: a forward calendar of decision points, flight tests, and budget marks, with analyst-curated trade setups

What subscribers receive

• The weekly contract pulse and the annual production flagship
• The catalyst calendar as an .ics feed, plus the production model in parquet and Excel
• Reports stamped with their data-as-of date; awards all trace to a resolvable record